IEM Daily Feature
Wednesday, 02 February 2022

Groundhog Day Forecast

Posted: 02 Feb 2022 05:34 AM

It is a cruel irony that today is Groundhog Day and Saturday is Weatherperson (Meteorologists) Day as the former is the bane of the existence of the latter. For those that believe in a groundhog's forecast, the weather lore states that if an emerging groundhog sees its shadow, it will retreat back into its hole and six more weeks of winter will commence. The featured table looks into this forecast based on a theoretical groundhog here in Des Moines with the shadow metric estimated by Des Moines airport sky coverage at 7 AM. The two data columns present that year's six week total for snowfall and average temperature and if those values were a snowier/colder departure than average (more winter) or a less snowy/warmer departure (more spring). The last column grades the forecast. Of course, one may argue if these metrics are an appropriate means to grade the forecast, but we are attempting to discuss a forecast made by a groundhog here, so about anything goes!

Voting:
Good = 15
Bad = 1

Tags:   groundhog   folklore