The featured image presents an update on the chances that this year will be the warmest on average for Des Moines. The chances are computed by taking this year's observations and appending all previous years observations to represent scenarios. The result of this operation shows that over 86% of the previous years would result in this year beating out 1931 (current warmest year). The forecast for the next week has overnight low temperatures on the warm side, which should help keep 2012 with a comfortable lead!

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Bad = 4