IEM Daily Feature
Friday, 20 July 2012
Friday, 20 July 2012
Chances of beating 1931
Posted: 20 Jul 2012 06:57 AM
The exceptional warmth of 2012 has certainly continued during July.
Even with northerly winds on Thursday, temperatures were still able to
reach the 90s for most of the state. What are the chances that this
year will be the warmest on record? The featured chart presents the
combination of the current year-to-date average temperature along with
the rest of each year previously back to 1880 for Des Moines as a
potential scenario. This year could certainly continue to be unlike
any other previous year, but for the sake of argument we will assume it
repeats like some previous year. With these scenarios, 64% of the
previous years would help us to finish as the warmest year on record.
So while the current year-to-date lead is very large, there is time to
lose ground. This chart would also indicate that this year should
remain warmer than the warmest on record until mid November at the
earliest.
Voting:
Good = 222
Bad = 38
Tags: 2012
Voting:
Good = 222
Bad = 38
Tags: 2012