IEM Daily Feature
Friday, 15 June 2012
Friday, 15 June 2012
Rainfall forecasting
Posted: 15 Jun 2012 05:35 AM
The featured chart presents a forecast model's prediction of 3 hourly
precipitation accumulations for a grid cell over Des Moines. Each row
represents a sequential model run and forecast out for eight days. The
white cells represent a time period outside the bounds of the forecast
temporal domain and pink cells represent a dry forecast. The columns
represent the change in the forecast over time and you can see a lot of
variability with the amount predicted. Some of the forecast runs
dumped considerable rainfall today and into this weekend, while others
are on the dry side. This model variability makes life fun for weather
forecasters. What will actually happen?
Voting:
Good = 167
Bad = 44
Tags: model
Voting:
Good = 167
Bad = 44
Tags: model