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000 

WUUS02 KWNS 051727

PTSDY2



DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

1127 AM CST SUN NOV 05 2000



VALID TIME 061200Z - 071200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    31619128 32129295 34059310 35349298 36139165 35898982 

       35098891 32548929 31619128

SLGT   28939555 32459433 37059289 38609170 38838946 37498701 

       35018632 30328720

TSTM   28569607 32359465 35749384 40079560 43769660 45769472 

       46329143 45068580 42868248 99999999 41888091 40677890 

       39407798 35857788 33977791 99999999 32498052 31768240 

       30388436 29598503 99999999 32311374 35111355 35951215 

       36480916 35810619 34460568 31800691



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS MONDAY MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY

EVENING OVER A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS...EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN

TENNESSEE...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND

NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.  THE MDT RISK AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A

LINE FROM HEZ 55 ESE SHV 30 S HOT 60 NW LIT 40 W ARG 25 WSW DYR 35

S MKL 35 WNW MEI HEZ.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE PSX 20 ENE GGG 30 ESE SGF 25 E

JEF 30 WNW SLO 20 SSE OWB 35 NE HSV 10 S PNS.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE PSX GGG 25 SE

FYV FNB 15 NNE FSD 35 WNW STC 50 SE DLH 25 NNW TVC 25 NE MTC

...CONT... 40 WSW ERI 35 S DUJ MRB RWI 20 S ILM ...CONT... 40 SW

CHS 35 N AYS TLH 10 S AQQ.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE YUM 25 ESE

IGM GCN 55 WSW FMN 15 NNW SAF 25 N 4CR 30 W ELP.

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