

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 251307

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0707 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2000



VALID TIME 251300Z - 261200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    37299077 35629156 33999251 32469355 32289489 33229594 

       35029578 36929541 38609399 38939255 38759082 37299077

SLGT   42589939 43120038 44380099 44940082 45730014 45919777 

       45869652 44499347 43209078 41368868 39838840 37698900 

       34889058 31639318 31139487 31619644 33189703 35229666 

       37349660 40119702 41679805 42589939

TSTM   29199509 29999668 31009789 34089880 37429815 39799833 

       40219973 40210096 40000195 40160321 41430360 43190357 

       46780333 48980179 99999999 43948268 40408476 38188619 

       36358726 33248894 31389035 29589237



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS

EVENING FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI/EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS/EASTERN

OKLAHOMA/WESTERN ARKANSAS/NORTHEAST TEXAS/EXTREME NORTHWEST

LOUISIANA TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW P02 50 SW ARG 35 WSW

PBF 15 E SHV 15 WSW GGG 40 SW PRX 10 N MLC 35 ENE BVO 25 WSW SZL 20

WNW COU 25 W STL 40 NNW P02.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE

RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E ANW 20 NNE VTN 35 W PIR 45 SSW Y26 20 NE

Y26 45 NE ABR 55 W AXN 30 SSW MSP 30 W LNR MMO 15 SSW CMI 15 ESE

MDH 35 WSW MEM 40 N POE 10 SW LFK 45 E ACT 25 NNW DAL 55 WNW MLC 50

ESE ICT 20 SW BIE 40 WNW OLU 30 E ANW.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW GLS

45 SSW CLL 30 WSW TPL 20 WNW SPS 25 ENE P28 40 WNW CNK 45 E MCK

20 W MCK 40 SSW IML AKO 30 S BFF 35 NW CDR 25 W DIK 55 NNW MOT

...CONT... 50 SE OSC 35 ENE MIE 25 W SDF 20 SSE CKV 40 SW CBM

15 NNE MCB 20 SW 7R4.

