

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 180102

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0702 PM CST THU FEB 17 2000



VALID TIME 180100Z - 181200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    34979392 34489486 34369591 34239726 34329848 34439927 

       35509960 36529900 36859587 36559409 34979392

SLGT   37908805 36818662 35758668 34818936 33989145 33659375 

       33229594 33559897 33779991 35350009 37670087 38509927 

       38769620 38819277 38889005 37908805

TSTM   30148936 31159153 32369369 32959697 33490028 35300028 

       38110121 38800097 39819983 40539500 40598995 40448598 

       39908439 38708347 37178433 35038467 33808392 33368239 

       32648120 31468174 29978389



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA

AND EXTREME WESTERN ARKANSAS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

35 SE FSM 20 SW PGO 40 NE DUA 15 WSW ADM 25 N SPS 15 S LTS

25 WNW CSM 45 ENE GAG 10 NE BVO 25 SSW UMN 35 SE FSM.



SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW EVV 15 SW BWG 25 S BNA 40 ESE

MEM 30 ESE PBF 20 NE TXK 40 SW PRX 40 SW SPS 50 SSE CDS 50 W CSM 20

SSW GCK 35 SW RSL 30 N EMP 30 W COU ALN 30 WSW EVV.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW GPT 35 SSW HEZ

10 SE SHV 10 NW DAL 65 S CDS 60 N CDS 30 WNW GCK 55 SE GLD

30 N HLC 45 NE FNB 15 WSW PIA 35 WNW MIE 10 W DAY 55 WNW HTS

15 WNW LOZ 30 E CHA 30 ENE ATL 25 W AGS 35 N SAV 30 NW SSI

40 SE TLH.

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