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000 

WUUS01 KWNS 171932

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0132 PM CST THU FEB 17 2000



VALID TIME 172000Z - 181200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    33049791 33969909 36129927 36849831 36759528 35859375 

       34819329 33719369 33109516 33049791

SLGT   38318831 36938782 32268899 31069141 31059369 31959588 

       31739752 32009906 32749986 36500001 37589946 38529381 

       38859049 38318831

TSTM   29798965 30709504 31299835 31870050 34360105 35620192 

       35200558 35660828 37280927 39470853 39770406 39880038 

       40439513 40418617 38548370 34658417 32558326 29738478



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

OVER A LARGE PART OF OKLAHOMA...PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS...AND A

SMALL PART OF WESTERN ARKANSAS.  THE MDT RISK AREA IS TO THE RIGHT

OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE MWL 35 W SPS 30 ESE GAG 35 SSE P28 40 E BVO

25 ESE FYV 25 NNW HOT 25 NE TXK 40 SSE PRX 20 NNE MWL.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E MVN 25 NW HOP 15 WSW MEI 40 NNW

BTR 30 W POE 40 SW TYR 20 WNW ACT 15 NNW BWD 25 NNW ABI 20 NW GAG

30 ESE DDC 20 SW SZL 10 NW STL 30 E MVN.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW BVE 40 SSW

LFK 50 SE BWD 35 N SJT 40 ENE PVW 30 NNW AMA 40 SE SAF 30 ENE GUP

25 SSE 4BL 25 N GJT 45 NNW LIC 25 SSE MCK 35 NE FNB 40 E LAF 55 SE

LUK 60 ENE RMG 25 ESE MCN 15 E AQQ.

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