

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 171300

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0700 AM CST THU FEB 17 2000



VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    33729785 34149927 34659980 36109987 36509951 36539736 

       36409523 35859375 34819329 33719369 33399482 33519586 

       33729785

SLGT   38318831 36938782 35168811 33918860 32268899 31399128 

       31369354 31909565 32149750 32219861 32289975 32690038 

       34430028 36870047 37560022 37559756 38529381 38859049 

       38318831

TSTM   29659346 30519514 30769682 30969950 31510088 34160110 

       35180325 35200558 35620764 37560831 40010738 39770406 

       39360086 39859703 40039133 40648592 40008288 36348428 

       34258504 33238331 33357911 99999999 30358132 29898378



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR WRN OK AND EXTREME NW TX LATE

THIS AFTERNOON...AND CENTRAL/ERN OK AND WRN AR TONIGHT.  THE MDT

RISK AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE SPS 35 S LTS 30 W

LTS 15 SSW GAG 20 NE GAG 20 SW PNC 40 ENE TUL 25 ESE FYV 25 NNW HOT

25 NE TXK 40 ESE PRX 25 WSW PRX 40 ESE SPS.



THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

30 E MVN 25 NW HOP 40 NW MSL 20 NNW CBM 15 WSW MEI 15 S HEZ

30 NW POE 35 SSW TYR 40 NNW ACT 25 W SEP 10 SSW ABI 45 WNW ABI CDS

30 ESE LBL 20 SW DDC 10 SW ICT 20 SW SZL 10 NW STL 30 E MVN.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW LCH

55 SSW LFK 30 WNW CLL 35 NNE JCT 25 WNW SJT 35 E PVW 20 E TCC

40 SE SAF 35 NNE GNT 25 NE CEZ 35 NW EGE 45 NNW LIC 45 E GLD

35 SSW BIE 10 NW UIN 40 NW MIE CMH 40 NNW TYS 10 SE RMG 50 S AHN

25 SSW MYR ...CONT... 25 ESE JAX 45 WNW CTY.

