

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 170541

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

1141 PM CST WED FEB 16 2000



VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    33749848 33929966 34699997 35569976 35949886 36309710 

       36009443 34939234 34019153 33219237 33069378 33279588 

       33749848

SLGT   36378984 35968891 35168811 33758812 32048875 31789037 

       31699421 32119621 31959804 31369999 31210098 32220084 

       33770065 35500078 36739976 37019858 37069463 36889164 

       36378984

TSTM   29159019 30699360 30769682 30230091 31170213 34280203 

       37000224 38970036 39859703 40039133 40648592 40008288 

       36348428 34258504 33238331 33357911 99999999 30358132 

       29898378 99999999 35650551 34850916 35951117 38821192 

       40810951 40890548 39180407 36420431 35650551



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT FOR

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST

TEXAS...AND WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE

FROM 15 S SPS 50 SE CDS 25 NE CDS 35 WNW CSM 45 NNE CSM 30 S PNC

15 W FYV 15 NNW LIT 25 ESE PBF 25 E ELD 30 SSE TXK 35 SW PRX

15 S SPS.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE

RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW DYR 25 N MKL 40 NW MSL 20 ENE CBM 20 S

MEI 40 SSW JAN 45 NE LFK 50 WSW TYR 20 SSE SEP 30 E SJT 30 WSW SJT

40 E BGS  50 SSW CDS 55 ENE AMA 30 N GAG 20 S P28 10 SW JLN 15 NE

UNO 35 NW DYR.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE HUM 35 SW POE

30 WNW CLL 60 N DRT 50 ENE FST 20 WNW PVW 20 W 1K5 40 SW HLC

35 SSW BIE 10 NW UIN 40 NW MIE CMH 40 NNW TYS 10 SE RMG 50 S AHN

25 SSW MYR ...CONT... 25 ESE JAX 45 WNW CTY.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W LVS 50 SSW GUP

55 E GCN 50 SE U24 25 N VEL 30 NW FCL 20 W LIC 25 SSE RTN 20 W LVS.

