

000 

WUUS02 KWNS 121729

PTSDY2



DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

1129 AM CST SAT FEB 12 2000



VALID TIME 131200Z - 141200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    33588559 31978658 31878850 32519119 34579143 35868990 

       35808630 33588559

SLGT   30408906 30949176 32359465 34569502 37239302 37889070 

       37368482 34758448 32788507 31318545 30208568

TSTM   36907593 34497888 32528098 31008328 30008544 99999999 

       30408906 30949176 32359465 34569502 37169450 39019151 

       40208760 40648473 41158170 41587711 42237243 42307085



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR

EASTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL TENNESSEE...NORTHERN

AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA.

THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E ANB 25

SSW MGM 35 SSE MEI 50 E MLU 40 NE PBF 30 WSW DYR 30 SE BNA 15 E

ANB.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GPT 45 SE ESF GGG 25 WSW PGO 20 E SGF

65 SW BLV 45 WNW LOZ 45 ESE CHA 15 S LGC DHN PFN.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E ORF 35 S FAY

30 NNE SAV 15 N VLD 20 SE PFN ...CONT... GPT 45 SE ESF GGG

25 WSW PGO JLN 40 ENE COU DNV 35 SE FWA 20 SSE CLE 25 NNW IPT

15 ENE BAF 10 ESE BOS.

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