

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 151620

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

1120 AM CDT FRI OCT 15 1999



VALID TIME 151630Z - 161200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



SLGT   28428268 29188105

TSTM   27539945 27709735 99999999 29838472 31088380 32138206 

       32688003 99999999 37579523 38489600 41539394 46478737 

       46378407 45208356 43538408 38279236 37579523



&&

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

35 N PIE DAB.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LRD 10 ESE CRP.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE AQQ MGR

50 W SAV 15 S CHS.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE CNU 15 NE EMP

15 W DSM 10 ESE MQT 15 ESE SSM 10 N APN MBS 25 SSW JEF 15 ESE CNU.

BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NWRN U.S. WILL AMPLIFY CONSIDERABLY

THROUGH TONIGHT AS IT DIGS SEWD...WITH A CLOSED LOW FORMING AT 500

MB OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES BY 12Z SATURDAY. MEANWHILE...HURRICANE

IRENE IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NNEWD UP THE FL PENINSULA /SEE

LATEST DISCUSSIONS FROM THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER/.

