

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 131901

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0201 PM CDT WED OCT 13 1999



VALID TIME 132000Z - 141200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    43247831 40287902 39438071 38568186 38368320 39308417 

       41678220

SLGT   44937485 42067577 40117672 39597747 38887985 38468125 

       37488251 37448453 38898593 41908310

TSTM   29118940 34748520 37038705 39138661 41268504 43328237



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER

MUCH OF OHIO...PARTS OF NORTHWESTERN WEST VIRGINIA...WESTERN

PENNSYLVANIA...AND WESTERN NEW YORK.  THE MDT RISK AREA IS TO THE

RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE BUF 20 E LBE 45 WSW MGW 20 NW CRW 35 W

HTS 20 NE LUK 25 NW CLE.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MSS 15 SE BGM 10 SE CXY 15 ESE HGR EKN

20 ENE CRW 5I3 35 NW LOZ 40 ESE BMG 25 SSE DTW.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S BVE 20 S CHA

35 NE HOP BMG 20 NNE FWA 55 NNE MTC.

