

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 051953

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0253 PM CDT WED MAY 05 1999



VALID TIME 052000Z - 061200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



HIGH   35428843 35188706 33238761 31738932 30469212 30379489 

       32359465 34029336 34989140 35319015 35428843

MDT    39128828 38188637 36728577 35428542 34118589 31778765 

       30409209 30459528 32359465 34919271 37579047 39128828

SLGT   28599595 30589586 32369540 33319659 35349634 38609216 

       43569693 46909680 45758896 43468720 40788520 38238391 

       35868381 33658441 31778491 30208602

TSTM   42308018 39177985 37507770 36337593 99999999 29848140 

       28348268 99999999 28579625 30589636 32169604 32759719 

       32589817 33080047 35180360 37010367 37650287 37519916 

       38189640 41719645 44389821 48589995



&&

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF ERN TX...SRN AND

ERN AR...NRN AND CNTRL LA...MUCH OF MS AND NRN AL.  THE HIGH RISK

AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE MKL 40 NNW HSV TCL 10

WNW LUL 20 NNW LFT 55 NNE HOU GGG 35 SSW HOT 50 ENE LIT 20 NNW MEM

30 ESE MKL.



EXTENDING NWD AND EWD FROM THE HIGH RISK...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF

SVR TSTMS ACROSS NERN AR...SERN MO...SRN IL...SWRN IN...WRN

KY...WRN AND MIDDLE TN...AND PARTS OF NRN AND CNTRL AL.  THE MDT

RISK IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S MTO 35 W SDF 40 ESE BWG 30

NNW CHA 15 NE GAD 55 SW SEM 15 NNW LFT 55 N HOU GGG 30 WNW LIT 55

WNW CGI 25 S MTO.



THERE IS ALSO A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

20 ESE PSX 30 E CLL TYR 35 NNE DAL 45 NW MLC JEF 10 W FSD FAR

25 ENE RHI 50 NE MKE 15 S FWA 40 ENE LEX 10 ENE TYS ATL 45 NE DHN

20 W PFN.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N ERI 20 N EKN

20 W RIC 15 ENE ECG ...CONT... 50 NNW DAB 30 N PIE ...CONT...

10 S PSX CLL 40 WSW TYR 10 ESE FTW 15 SSW MWL 65 NW ABI TCC

40 ESE TAD 35 SSW 4LJ 35 WNW P28 15 SW EMP 40 NW OMA HON

65 ENE MOT.

