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000 

WUUS01 KWNS 051254

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0754 AM CDT WED MAY 05 1999



VALID TIME 051300Z - 061200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



HIGH   35828816 35378676 34918645 34198732 33348882 33029043 

       32929156 33709167 34739117 35629008 35828816

MDT    37988899 37498701 36728577 35428542 34118589 32908779 

       32208946 31839128 32699252 34809198 37079084 37988899

SLGT   29538963 30379291 32469381 35839315 38819202 42709363 

       45489435 46619308 45758896 43468720 39618670 37708479 

       35868381 33658441 31778491 30398672

TSTM   43217780 40217713 38437683 37427546 99999999 33277942 

       32788120 31718265 29858370 99999999 29629419 31549511 

       32889494 33079612 32589817 33080047 35180360 37380441 

       38920403 37519916 38189640 41719645 44389821 48589995



&&

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR

EXTREME EASTERN ARKANSAS...NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST

TENNESSEE...AND NORTHWEST ALABAMA TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

45 ENE MKL 50 N HSV 25 NE HSV 45 SW HSV 30 SW CBM 45 SE GLH

40 NE MLU 35 SSE PBF 60 E LIT 35 ESE JBR 45 ENE MKL.



SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR

NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...EASTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

EXTREME SOUTH ILLINOIS...WESTERN KENTUCKY...NORTHWEST AND MIDDLE

TENNESSEE...PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ALABAMA...AND

CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE MDH 20 SSE

OWB 40 ESE BWG 30 NNW CHA 15 NE GAD 25 SSW TCL 40 NNW LUL 15 N HEZ

30 WNW MLU 15 ENE LIT 30 NW P02 20 NE MDH.



THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

20 NW BVE 25 NE LCH SHV 30 S HRO 10 E COU 30 ENE FOD 15 WSW STC

45 WSW DLH 25 ENE RHI 50 NE MKE 25 WSW IND 25 SSW LEX 10 ENE TYS

ATL 45 NE DHN 30 SSW CEW.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW ROC 15 W CXY

25 WNW NHK 35 S WAL ...CONT... 40 SW MYR 45 N SAV 35 NNW AYS

40 WNW CTY ...CONT... 25 SSW BPT 30 NW LFK 40 NNW GGG 45 ENE DAL

15 SSW MWL 65 NW ABI TCC 10 NNW TAD 25 SW LIC 35 WNW P28 15 SW EMP

40 NW OMA HON 65 ENE MOT.

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