

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 041939

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0239 PM CDT TUE MAY 04 1999



VALID TIME 042000Z - 051200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



HIGH   32009356 32109526 32579615 33439610 34159574 35059520 

       36669390 36869191 36429093 34759100 33489159 32399245 

       31969296 32009356

MDT    31239399 31119608 31559706 32729678 34029615 35219559 

       36709508 38069394 38679190 38558985 37068912 34538974 

       33149051 31799174 31259248 31239399

SLGT   30379351 29879770 30619806 31569818 32699704 34769619 

       36409565 37349782 37989919 39080089 41930070 45299968 

       46919868 46249635 44559508 42679276 40038809 35968719 

       33828690 31938887 30599177 30379351

TSTM   48539233 45548917 41338540 38868375 36148379 33078483 

       30268696 99999999 27969688 27439957 99999999 28970070 

       32789806 35579702 36099807 35849949 35810170 36760353 

       37890428 39390429 41150404 42440283 43460122 44500065 

       46300044 48920082



&&

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS A SMALL

PART OF SOUTH CENTRAL MO...MUCH OF AR...PARTS OF NERN TX INTO NWRN

LA.  THE HIGH RISK IS RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE SHV 20 SSE TYR 45

ESE DAL 40 WSW PRX 40 ENE DUA 35 ENE MLC 15 S UMN 10 NNW UNO 20 N

ARG 60 WSW MEM 35 W GLH 25 WSW MLU 55 NW ESF 35 SSE SHV.



SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS

MUCH OF SRN MO SWD INTO NERN TX AND NRN LA AS WELL AS A SMALL PART

OF WRN TN AND NWRN MS.  THE MDT RISK AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE

FROM 45 E LFK 40 NNE CLL 10 ESE ACT 10 SSE DAL 15 ENE DUA 25 NNE

MLC 45 SW JLN 50 SSW SZL 15 ENE JEF BLV 20 W PAH 15 NW UOX 35 SW

GWO 30 WNW HEZ 15 SW ESF 45 E LFK.



THERE IS ALSO A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

25 NW LCH 30 S AUS 30 NW AUS 45 S SEP 20 ESE FTW 25 WSW MLC

20 NE TUL 30 SW ICT 45 ENE DDC 60 WSW HLC 20 ESE MHN 40 ESE Y26

JMS 50 SSE FAR RWF 20 WNW ALO 10 E CMI 30 WSW BNA 20 NNW BHM

25 NE LUL 30 NNE LFT 25 NW LCH.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW ELO

15 ESE RHI 25 NNW FWA 40 ESE LUK 25 NNE TYS 15 ENE LGC 20 SE PNS

...CONT... 40 ENE CRP 10 SW LRD ...CONT... 30 SSE DRT MWL

35 ENE OKC 20 SSW END 35 SSE GAG 40 N AMA 30 NW CAO 30 SSE PUB

35 WNW LIC 40 E CYS 30 SSE CDR 45 SSE PHP 20 WNW PIR 35 SSE BIS

50 NNE MOT.

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