

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 041650

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

1150 AM CDT TUE MAY 04 1999



VALID TIME 041630Z - 051200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



HIGH   32039381 32229540 32859642 33959640 34889578 35529518 

       36009416 35619315 35049186 33489176 32159248 32039381

MDT    31189311 31239636 31619721 32819735 34309701 35449647 

       36209590 37239338 37759215 36709030 34939042 33509034 

       32049128 31359246 31339254 31189311

SLGT   30379351 29879770 29359958 29560029 30020056 31360033 

       32419968 34659805 37309858 39120016 40210058 41130030 

       42669831 43169455 42409031 41038848 38998758 36418730 

       34068796 31858963 30599177 30379351

TSTM   48539233 45548917 41708583 38868375 36148379 33968494 

       30368752 99999999 27969688 27629967 99999999 29480121 

       32240024 34089880 34659840 37189901 37050096 36810270 

       37720370 38380370 39240387 40580432 41150404 41760397 

       42050319 42520219 43690160 45260150 47040161 48930228



&&

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER SERN AND EAST CENTRAL

OK...MUCH OF WRN AND CENTRAL AR...NRN LA...AND NERN TX TO THE RIGHT

OF A LINE FROM 30 S SHV 10 S TYR 25 E DAL DUA MLC 15 SE MKO FYV 45

S HRO 30 NE LIT 45 W GLH 35 SW MLU 30 S SHV.



SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

OVER THE REMAINDER OF ERN OK...N CENTRAL AND NERN TX...NRN AND

CENTRAL LA...SRN MO...ERN AR...AND EXTREME WRN MS TO THE RIGHT OF

A LINE FROM 10 NNE POE 45 N CLL ACT FTW ADM 55 NW MLC TUL SGF TBN

10 ESE P02 25 WSW MEM 15 W GWO 30 N HEZ 10 WSW ESF 15 WSW ESF 10

NNE POE.



THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

25 NW LCH 30 S AUS 25 W HDO 40 ENE DRT 50 NNE DRT 10 E SJT ABI

20 E FSI P28 25 SW HLC MCK 20 E LBF 50 WSW YKN 30 E 3SE 20 E DBQ

25 SSE MMO 35 SSW HUF 15 SSE CKV 40 NE CBM 30 WNW LUL 30 NNE LFT

25 NW LCH.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW ELO

15 ESE RHI 25 E SBN 40 ESE LUK 25 NNE TYS 30 SSE RMG 20 WSW PNS

...CONT... 40 ENE CRP 15 WNW LRD ...CONT... 20 WNW DRT 35 WSW ABI

20 WNW SPS FSI 25 WSW P28 LBL 35 NE CAO 25 SSW LHX 25 NNW LHX

10 WNW LIC 40 E FCL 40 E CYS 20 WSW BFF 20 W AIA 50 ESE CDR

25 S PHP 55 WSW Y26 45 WNW BIS 65 NW MOT.

