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000 

WUUS01 KWNS 041223

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0723 AM CDT TUE MAY 04 1999



VALID TIME 041300Z - 051200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



HIGH   31569378 31549552 31889633 32929661 33599640 34499556 

       34469461 34309262 34029193 32779175 32159248 31569318 

       31569378

MDT    31189311 31239636 31619721 32669753 34159750 35629685 

       36759654 36759582 36129374 35779137 34939042 33509034 

       32049128 31359246 31339254 31189311

SLGT   30379351 29879770 29359958 29560029 30020056 31100036 

       36359873 37309858 37989919 39080089 39800112 41130030 

       42669831 43169455 42409031 41038848 38998758 36418730 

       34068796 31858963 30599177 30379351

TSTM   48539233 45548917 41708583 38868375 36148379 33968494 

       29338882 99999999 28859533 28090009 99999999 29480121 

       34539968 36099919 36769919 37049996 36930139 35990372 

       35800534 36310718 38400823 40550915 43600973 44510952 

       44820858 44760747 44180696 43060590 42390489 42190381 

       42440283 43540231 44700160 46240172 49000240



&&

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS NERN TX...SERN

OK...SWRN AR...AND NWRN LA...TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

50 NW POE 50 WNW LFK 55 ENE ACT 15 ENE DAL 25 S DUA 30 SSE MLC

15 S PGO 30 ESE HOT 10 S PBF 25 NE MLU 35 SW MLU 35 N POE

50 NW POE.



SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER

ERN OK...MUCH OF AR...N-CENTRAL/NERN TX...NRN LA AND EXTREME NWR

MS...TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE POE 45 N CLL ACT 15 SW FTW

30 WSW ADM 45 ENE OKC 30 W BVO 10 E BVO 25 ENE FYV 35 SW ARG 25 WSW

MEM 15 W GWO 30 N HEZ 10 WSW ESF 15 WSW ESF 10 NNE POE.



OUTSIDE THE MDT AND HIGH RISKS...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW LCH 30 S AUS 25 W HDO 40 ENE DRT

50 NNE DRT 20 SSE SJT 45 W END P28 45 ENE DDC 60 WSW HLC 40 SW MCK

20 E LBF 50 WSW YKN 30 E 3SE 20 E DBQ 25 SSE MMO 35 SSW HUF 15 SSE

CKV 40 NE CBM 30 WNW LUL 30 NNE LFT 25 NW LCH.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW ELO

15 ESE RHI 25 E SBN 40 ESE LUK 25 NNE TYS 30 SSE RMG 35 E BVE

...CONT... 40 SW GLS 55 NW LRD ...CONT... 20 WNW DRT 25 WSW LTS

35 ESE GAG 45 NE GAG 50 S DDC 25 WSW LBL 45 SW CAO 15 NW LVS

35 N 4SL 20 WSW MTJ 20 ENE VEL 50 E JAC 25 W COD 30 NE COD

25 W SHR 40 S SHR 30 ENE CPR 35 SE 4DG 25 NNW BFF 30 SSE CDR

50 SW PHP 45 N PHP 30 NE Y22 80 NE ISN.

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