

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 211055

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0455 AM CST THU JAN 21 1999



VALID TIME 211200Z - 221200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



HIGH   32318974 31779078 31619154 32209241 33309304 34489336 

       35549315 35989242 36009101 35948965 35348860 34758814 

       33658845 32318974

SLGT   29809363 30429357 31879348 32799363 34229405 35699480 

       36839469 37549377 37959126 37808699 36198573 33568649 

       30258825

TSTM   29809363 30939358 32209351 32359422 32369540 32399711 

       32219869 32290008 32630200 33300375 33900593 35160825 

       36451008 37851163 38971212 39581170 39871042 39180922 

       38500760 37430482 36450270 35690114 34759828 35399640 

       36859566 37669511 40229120 41628884 42738607 42218375 

       40698143 39078067 37138068 34918195 33658441 30468720



&&

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING

OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI.  THE

HIGH RISK IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E JAN 45 NNW MCB 15 W

HEZ 30 SW MLU 15 WNW ELD 15 W HOT 50 S HRO 45 ESE HRO 10 SSW ARG 15

WSW DYR 25 SE MKL 30 W MSL CBM 20 E JAN.



THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

25 ESE BPT 30 NW LCH 45 SSE SHV 25 NNE SHV 45 SE PGO 35 NW FSM

25 SSW JLN 30 NW SGF 30 ESE VIH 10 ENE OWB 40 WNW CSV 15 E BHM

30 S MOB.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE BPT

25 WSW POE 25 SE SHV 25 E GGG TYR 35 SSW DAL 30 W SEP 25 WSW ABI

40 NW BGS 45 E ROW 20 SW 4CR 20 W GNT 80 SSE U17 30 ENE BCE

35 SE U24 50 ENE U24 25 NE PUC 40 NE CNY 15 E MTJ 30 WNW TAD

25 E CAO 45 NE AMA 10 NE FSI 50 NW MLC 20 ENE BVO 20 E CNU

20 N UIN 20 NNW MMO 30 WSW GRR ARB 15 S CAK 45 ESE PKB PSK SPA ATL

PNS.

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