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000 

WUUS02 KWNS 091739

PTSDY2



DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

1139 AM CST MON NOV 09 1998



VALID TIME 101200Z - 111200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    34128970 33198900 31858963 31089157 30839318 32139399 

       33649280 34128970 99999999 41968064 40078146 38628288 

       39108499 40648592 42888571 44458340

SLGT   44887223 43537295 41517434 39977773 38448072 35428375 

       31988524 30208568 99999999 28719559 30789573 31859540 

       33459365 36378984 40038828 42438849 44538890 47408756

TSTM   28279691 30419691 33719415 36949338 40479152 43149125 

       45149285 48129229 99999999 45377066 43597013 99999999 

       37837533 36447754 34108092 29258310



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN LOUISIANA

...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.  THE MDT RISK AREA

IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW UOX 45 SW CBM 30 WNW LUL 40

SSW HEZ 15 S POE 25 SSW SHV 30 N ELD 20 SSW UOX.



ALSO...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF OHIO...

EASTERN INDIANA...AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF LOWER MICHIGAN.  THIS

AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW ERI 25 ENE ZZV 25 NW HTS

30 W LUK 40 NW MIE 10 W GRR OSC.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREAS...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM EFK RUT 25 WSW POU 20 N HGR 50 NNE BKW

30 SSE TYS 40 SSW CSG PFN ...CONT... 40 E PSX 40 ENE CLL 35 S TYR

20 E TXK 35 NW DYR CMI 30 ESE JVL 40 NNW OSH 60 N MQT.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S VCT 35 WSW CLL

20 NNW TXK 20 S SGF 30 SW BRL 50 S LSE 25 NE MSP 30 NW ELO

...CONT... 60 NNE BML 10 ESE PWM ...CONT... 10 SE WAL 45 NNE RWI

15 NE CAE 25 S CTY.

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