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000 

WUUS01 KWNS 040553

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

1253 AM CDT SUN OCT 04 1998



VALID TIME 041200Z - 051200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    38069394 35879548 36209751 38969868 40459800 41129538 

       40619324 38069394

SLGT   34979392 32859625 33379881 35849856 37769959 40210096 

       42050031 43419628 43489250 41919022 39478966 37279110 

       34979392

TSTM   30010203 31690123 33069968 35669958 37380115 37590378 

       36750787 37041043 42381971 45452213 48802176 99999999 

       49060899 49110891 44260370 44560160 45270006 47589927 

       48069651 47729402 46639028 44368639 42418467 41018385 

       38458185 36748045 36277827 37077560



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR ERN HALF OF KS...SE NEB...SW

IA...NW MO...AND PARTS OF N/NE OK TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

50 SSW SZL 15 NNW MKO 25 ESE END 10 NE RSL 25 ESE HSI 30 ESE OMA

35 NE P35 50 SSW SZL.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO

THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE FSM 35 E DAL 45 SSW SPS 50 SW END 20

E DDC 20 W MCK 40 SSW ANW 25 ESE FSD 30 S RST 35 NNE MLI 25 S SPI

50 NW P02 35 SE FSM.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE P07

40 SSE BGS 45 N ABI 30 NW CSM 25 NNW LBL 35 SSW LHX 20 E FMN

35 SSE U17 35 ENE 4LW 25 ESE PDX 35 E BLI ...CONT... 50 NE HVR

55 NE HVR 35 WNW RAP 35 N PHP 25 SE Y26 40 SSW DVL 15 W TVF

45 ENE BJI 10 NW IWD 10 NW MBL 15 NW JXN 10 W FDY 15 WNW CRW

30 SSE PSK 40 NE RDU 35 ENE ORF.

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