

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 230503

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

1203 AM CDT SUN AUG 23 1998



VALID TIME 231200Z - 241200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    44818290 43658444 43068662 42208978 42339240 43479387 

       45109321 47338780

SLGT   42627915 41388005 40598251 40638613 40589123 40709729 

       40979994 42250133 44050110 44919664 48059013

TSTM   32611629 33751648 36081471 37171279 38641146 39891152 

       41181288 41241403 40651526 40031740 41042016 43952158 

       48772062 99999999 44887284 43437031 99999999 36267573 

       36027729 35967963 37068094 37848128 38648330 39108527 

       38388772 37749020 38139473 38679587 39389936 38850170 

       36710283 35620278 33589980 32859633 31609254 31188759 

       31158138



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA

...EXTREME NORTHEAST IOWA...MOST OF WISCONSIN...UPPER MICHIGAN...

AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF LOWER MICHIGAN.  THE MDT RISK AREA IS TO

THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE OSC 20 WNW MBS 20 WSW MKG 35 W RFD

15 S ALO 30 ESE FRM 15 N MSP 35 ENE CMX.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW BUF 10 W FKL 15 S MFD 45 ENE LAF

15 SSW BRL 30 WSW LNK 35 SSW BBW 20 NW MHN 25 E PHP 25 E ATY 105 N

IWD.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E CZZ 20 WNW TRM

25 E LAS 40 SSE CDC 45 WNW 4HV 45 WNW PUC 45 W OGD 35 N ENV 30 ESE

EKO 40 NNW U31 50 NNE SVE 30 SW RDM 55 WNW 4OM ...CONT... 30 W EFK

15 S PWM ...CONT... 25 E ECG 35 ENE RWI 20 ESE GSO 15 WSW PSK 10

WNW BKW 45 WNW HTS 45 W LUK 25 NNW EVV 50 NW CGI 50 S OJC 30 SSW

TOP 25 E HLC 35 S GLD 25 NE CAO 30 SSW DHT 65 SSE CDS 30 E DAL 20

NW ESF 55 NNW PNS SSI.

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