

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 311030

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0530 AM CDT SUN MAY 31 1998



VALID TIME 311200Z - 011200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



HIGH   44887254 43317295 42167310 41337544 41187890 42088018

MDT    45097118 42367142 41237241 40287481 40137920 39558169 

       38778307 37558338 36488294 35818398 35918643 36108741 

       36428889 37288876 38058753 40098538 40898411 42238331

SLGT   36267573 36217744 36988015 35438255 35038520 35048761 

       35258975 36139093 37328981 39488866 40618720 41298520 

       42668424 43328283

TSTM   29209107 30408906 31748731 32258543 33588585 34468761 

       34388955 34509413 34889578 35879562 36889390 38609216 

       39939120 41889170 42899350 41699614 41109831 39950024 

       38360174 39180407 41310568 41450885 40761196 39501708 

       37191896 38732150 41312289 44732244 45681885 47311887 

       49022160 99999999 49061204 47050945 46040559 45110306 

       43960133 43359860 43879631 45869538 48069618 48939678



&&

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN

PENNSYLVANIA...MOST OF NEW YORK...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...AND

WESTERN VERMONT.  THE HIGH RISK AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

15 W EFK 15 S RUT 20 W BAF 15 E AVP DUJ ERI.



SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

OVER MUCH OF NEW HAMPSHIRE...THE REMAINDER OF VERMONT...MOST OF

MASSACHUSETTS...CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...PENNSYLVANIA...

EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN...A LARGE PART OF OHIO...SOUTHEASTERN

INDIANA...MOST OF KENTUCKY...AND NORTHERN TENNESSEE.  THE MDT RISK

AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N BML 20 W BOS 20 WSW GON

TTN 15 SE LBE 20 NW PKB 40 NW HTS JKL 30 W TRI TYS 20 SE BNA 35 S

CKV 40 NE DYR 15 N PAH EVV 10 S MIE 25 WSW FDY DTW.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E ECG 35 NE RWI 25 SSW ROA AVL CHA

20 N MSL 20 NE MEM ARG 15 WNW CGI 20 W MTO 20 NW LAF 20 N FWA 20

ESE LAN 50 N MTC.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW HUM GPT 45 SSW

SEM 25 S AUO ANB 20 S MSL UOX 30 ESE PGO MLC 20 NW MKO UMN JEF UIN

CID 20 SSW MCW 30 NNW OMA 10 N GRI 25 SE MCK 50 ENE 4LJ 20 W LIC

LAR 15 SE RKS SLC U31 35 WSW BIH 15 N SAC 30 W MHS 30 ESE SLE PDT

30 E EPH 45 ENE BLI ...CONT... 35 NNE CTB LWT 30 SSE MLS 25 ESE REJ

15 ESE P05 40 SW MHE 30 NE FSD AXN TVF 65 W D45.

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