

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 160444

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

1144 PM CDT WED APR 15 1998



VALID TIME 160440Z - 161200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    35199000 36139093 38469036 39838886 39758473 38798358 

       36828393 35708617 35199000

SLGT   32299937 34509676 36209391 39079188 40439235 41629136 

       42008882 41908534 40918181 40188112 37698059 36308191 

       35238398 34658623 34268876 31249764 32299937

TSTM   38310234 36839697 35409760 35020061 34850672 34701166 

       34861678 38772117 40152187 42152173 44912228 46962205 

       47631753 46601200 42910646 38310234 99999999 43267852 

       39407798 35607846 32788196 32308640 31409230 30659928 

       32419994 34889649 36889417 39039316 41869385 43579125 

       43138250



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THROUGH TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHERN INDIANA...MOST OF KENTUCKY...A SMALL

PART OF SOUTHWEST OHIO...PORTIONS OF MIDDLE AND WESTERN TENNESSEE

...EXTREME NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI.  THE

MDT RISK AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N MEM ARG 20 S STL

DEC 30 WSW DAY 50 ESE LUK 20 SSE LOZ 40 SE BNA 10 N MEM.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE ABI 20 NE ADM 20 NE FYV 25 NE

COU 25 NNE IRK 25 SE CID 20 SE RFD 25 SSE AZO 20 W CAK 25 W HLG 15

WSW SSU 30 ESE TRI 40 S TYS 30 E HSV TUP 15 WNW TPL 20 ESE ABI.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE 4LJ 10 NE PNC

OKC 45 NNW CDS 15 SSW ABQ 30 S FLG DAG 25 NE SAC 20 E RBL LMT

35 E SLE 40 E OLM GEG HLN CPR 20 NE 4LJ.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE BUF MRB

25 SE RDU 40 S AGS MGM ESF 30 ENE JCT 15 W ABI 40 W MLC 15 W UMN

30 NE SZL 25 NNW DSM 20 S LSE 40 NNE MTC.

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