

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 020134

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0734 PM CST MON DEC 01 1997



VALID TIME 020200Z - 021200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



TSTM   31921270 32971146 33821003 34310839 34060690 33300453 

       32680320 31230256 29510241



&&

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S GBN 45 SE PHX

30 S E03 65 SSW GNT ONM ROW HOB 30 NE FST 45 S P07.

//

.. GENERAL THUNDERSTORM FORECAST DISCUSSION..

--- SYNOPSIS ---

COMPLEX WESTERN CONTINENTAL U.S. LONGWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES...THE

MOST IMPORTANT FEATURE FOR THIS OUTLOOK BEING PROGRESSIVE

MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND

NORTHERN SONORA.  02/00Z UPPER AIR ANALYSES INDICATE STRENGTHENING

LOW LEVEL THETAE ADVECTION IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS

SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS.

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