

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 300155

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0755 PM CST SAT NOV 29 1997



VALID TIME 300200Z - 301200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



SLGT   29738486 30588352 30998270 31158180 31358114 99999999 

       28928076 27118255

TSTM   30208750 31828698 32908760 33048953 32519119 32519248 

       33819357 34789449 37289483 39769491 40619395 41109245 

       41108902 40418693 38498534 35958508 35228432 34898293 

       35237940 34727705



&&

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

10 E AQQ 20 SW VLD 25 SW AYS 25 W SSI 20 NE SSI ...CONT...

25 SE DAB 20 S SRQ.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW PNS 35 S SEM

20 W CKL 45 SE GWO 50 E MLU 25 W MLU 35 NE TXK 10 NE PGO

20 WNW JLN STJ 3OI OTM 25 SW MMO LAF 30 NE SDF CSV 45 SSW TYS

30 NNW AND SOP 25 S EWN.

//

.. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM FORECAST DISCUSSION..

- - - SYNOPSIS - - -

MOISTURE CHANNEL SATELLITE LOOPS AND RADIOSONDE OBSERVATION DATA

INDICATES PERSISTENT CYCLONE OVER SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA IS

ACCELERATING EASTWARD PER MORNING FORECASTS AND LATEST RUC

GUIDANCE...AND BECOMING MORE IN-PHASE WITH A NORTHERN STREAM

SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN ONTARIO.

SURFACE COLD FRONT...PRECEDED BY A COMBINED PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AND

CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY...WILL CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN

GULF COAST REGION AND PORTIONS NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA...WHILE

STATIONARY FRONT FROM FLORIDA/GEORGIA BORDER NORTHEASTWARD OVER

GULF STREAM REMAINS QUASISTATIONARY.

