

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 140110

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0810 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 1997



VALID TIME 140200Z - 141200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



SLGT   41309590 43659558 45869538 48729465 48179236 46779089 

       43869125 40619395 36999678 37049873 41309590 99999999 

       47959718 47529718 47549779 48029861 48209919 48329959 

       48629967 48649927 48339798 47959718

TSTM   42437075 43537295 44937536 99999999 31678917 33238761 

       34758761 35608891 33489098 31619128 31389035 31678917 

       99999999 31890812 32850610 33300453 31950218 29340336 

       99999999 28719584 29899723 30589636 31239475 33459400 

       34689461 34889578 34439927 35230170 36010255 36309976 

       37309840 38809765 40009715 42409638 43969600 45869652 

       48119890 48260052 48850087 99999999 44458340 40238538 

       38188573 34658676 33968608 34358516 33958331 32708365 

       30858518 29618310 29188105



&&

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM OMA

OTG AXN 35 ESE D45 35 NW ELO 40 WNW IWD LSE 3OI 25 NE PNC

20 SSW P28 OMA.



THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GFK

30 S GFK 40 SW GFK 15 ESE DVL 15 WNW DVL 35 WNW DVL 50 NW DVL

40 NNW DVL 45 ENE DVL GFK.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE BOS RUT

25 W MSS.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LUL TCL MSL MKL GLH

HEZ 15 NNE MCB LUL.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW DMN HMN ROW

MAF 80 SW P07.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E PSX 40 SE AUS

CLL LFK TXK PGO MLC 15 S LTS AMA DHT GAG 10 E P28 SLN 30 SW BIE

SUX 30 NW OTG 55 W AXN DVL 35 E MOT 45 NNE MOT ...CONT... OSC MIE

SDF HSV GAD RMG AHN MCN MAI CTY DAB.

LTST STLT/RAOB DATA INDICATE VIGOROUS SHRTWV NOW EXTENDING FM SWRN

ND INTO SE NEB.  SYS IS PROGD TO MIGRATE EWD OVERNIGHT...WITH STGR

HEIGHT FALLS SPREADING FM ERN DAKOTAS ACRS NRN/CNTRL MN.  SUPPORTED

BY MDT INSTBY WITH CAPE AOA 3000 J/KG...STG/SVR TSTMS ARE ONGOING

AHEAD OF WEAK SFC FRONT ASSOCD WITH UPR SYS.  CURVING SWD FM LOW SE

OF DVL...FRONT IS NOW EAST OF SUX/OMA/AND CNK...AND WILL ADVANCE

INTO WRN WI/ERN IA/SE KS/TX PNHDL REGION BY 14/12Z.  GIVEN DEGREE

OF INSTBY AHEAD OF SYS...MDT SHEAR AND UPR FORCING WILL SUPPORT SVR

THREAT INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACRS ERN MN AND WRN/CNTRL WI.

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