

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 171432

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0932 AM CDT THU OCT 17 1996



VALID TIME 171500Z - 181200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    31879114 31689299 32469381 33459400 35069310 36449183 

       38199031 38318849 37858779 36678750 35608793 34268876 

       32708986 31879114

SLGT   45818811 44268585 42738530 40878512 38388561 36968561 

       35038555 33208675 32158828 30999138 31059360 32149540 

       32859616 33789563 35189455 36629315 39169089 41628987 

       43278990 46839218 45818811

TSTM   28629603 30309770 32219818 34309701 37169450 41109245 

       43919250 46549413 45869538 46909616 48939623 99999999 

       42088018 39358143 37488251 33968404 32518495 30208568 

       99999999 32018089 33188073 34877881 35857788 36687697 

       36787587 99999999 29228289 30958149



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTN AND EVE ACRS ERN AND SRN

AR...NRN LA...SRN AND CNTRL MS...PARTS OF WRN TN AND KY...SE MO AND

SRN IL...TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE HEZ 45 WNW ESF SHV TXK

40 N HOT 20 S UNO 35 SW BLV 20 E MVN 20 SW EVV HOP 55 E MKL TUP 30

NNE JAN 20 NNE HEZ.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS

TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM IMT 20 E MBL 15 SE GRR 10 SSE FWA 15

NNE SDF 45 E BWG 20 W CHA 25 S BHM 30 ESE MEI 35 NNW BTR 25 W POE

15 S TYR 40 E DAL 15 NW PRX 15 SW FSM 25 N HRO 40 NW STL 35 ENE MLI

15 ENE LNR DLH IMT.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE PSX AUS SEP

ADM JLN OTM RST 10 N BRD AXN 30 E FAR 40 W D45 ...CONT... ERI PKB

5I3 30 NE ATL CSG PFN.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE SAV

45 WNW CHS 10 SSE FAY RWI 45 WSW ORF 20 ESE ORF.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE CTY

15 SSW SSI.

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