

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 042021

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0321 PM CDT WED OCT 04 1995



VALID TIME 041900Z - 051200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



MDT    30398825 32908725 33968608 35038555 35818398 35758138 

       33958128 32018089 99999999 30708146 29258310

SLGT   29179087 31188978 32338875 33238761 34658676 36538508 

       37088408 37278193 36087995 34267791 99999999 29188105 

       27408255 99999999 37930071 40210058 41130068 42050105 

       44050160 44380028 43769803 42669603 39119460 37669548 

       36739710 36779889 37050069 37930071

TSTM   29789213 32319008 35078861 36968643 38038460 40008288 

       42088018 42937873 43117766 42757380 42937061 99999999 

       37450586 38770975 39791126 41181201 43011223 44651110 

       45800853 47130480 46919868 45559406 43919250 40789111 

       38139176 36629315 36209590 36309976 36450315 37450586



&&

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTN AND TNGT FOR THE SERN

2/3RDS OF AL...THE FL PNHDL AND NRN FL...GA...XTRM SE TN...XTRM WRN

NC...AND WRN SC.  THIS AREA IS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM

20 S MOB CKL GAD 20 W CHA TYS HKY 10 W CAE 20 ESE SAV ...CONT...

20 NE JAX 25 S CTY.



SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE

RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW HUM 40 E MCB MEI TCL HSV 40 N CSV LOZ

35 ESE 5I3 GSO ILM...CONT... DAB SRQ.



THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM GCK

MCK LBF MHN P05 PIR MHE 25 NE SUX MKC CNU PNC 40 SSW P28 15 E LBL

GCK.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 7R4 JAN 40 SSE MKL

BWG LEX CMH ERI BUF ROC ALB 15 SE PSM.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM ALS CNY 30 WNW PUC

OGD 20 ENE PIH WEY BIL GDV JMS STC RST BRL VIH 25 N HRO TUL GAG

CAO ALS.

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