

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 031500

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

1000 AM CDT SUN OCT 03 1993



VALID TIME 031500Z - 041200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



TSTM   31800640 33300453 33650181 32819735 32519205 31678917 

       30318767 99999999 28968265 29648130 99999999 37361836 

       37372057 39132320 42052428 44112321 44262115 42211957 

       39501978 38061782 37361836



&&

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RGT OF A LN FM ELP ROW LBB FTW MLU LUL

30 WSW PNS.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 55 SSW GNV 35 NNW DAB.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RGT OF A LN FM BIH MER UKI 4BK EUG RDM

40 E 4LW RNO 40 W TPH BIH.

MOST OF WRN STATES. SERIES OF SHRTWVS ARE FCST TO TRACK SEWD ACRS

GRTLKS ON SUN...WITH SFC CDFNT XTNDG FROM UPR MI ACRS WI BY AFTN.

SWLY LOW LVL FLOW OF 40-50KTS AHD OF SYS WILL PRVD STG WARM THERMAL

ADVECTION...WITH FAIRLY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SUF LOW/MID LVL MSTR

INDCG PTNL FOR ISOLD TSTMS ACRS NRN GRTLKS RGN. SWLY FLOW ACRS

LE/LO MAY ALSO ENHANCE CNVTV THREAT ALG LEE SHORES OF NY/PA/OH DURG

PD.

