

000 

WUUS01 KWNS 162153

PTSDY1



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE

IOWA MESONET SYNTHETIC PRODUCT FROM SWO V2021APR07

0453 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 1993



VALID TIME 162145Z - 171200Z



PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... TORNADO ...

&&



... HAIL ...

&&



... WIND ...



&&



CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1



... CATEGORICAL ...



SLGT   36267564 35908281 34758761 33509008 32519205 32469381 

       32219818 31500292 32330426 39210686 42810873 46661315 

       49211329 99999999 49030784 46430586 39180370 36450315 

       34800170 34430028 34659927 34889578 35839065 36968643 

       38148160 39887525 40037375

TSTM   34201920 39501978 44262115 47111921 49171426 99999999 

       49080661 48210661 46780280 45459843 44309680 42919738 

       40739900 38869881 37659743 36759600 36009416 37068876 

       38368255 38887985 39687773 40287481 40787310 99999999 

       33687893 33658441 33238761 31409230 31239475 27539945



&&

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 30 E ECG

HSS MSL GWO MLU SHV SEP 40 N FST CNM ASE LND 3DU 60 NW CTB

...CONT...80 NW GGW MLS LIC CAO 30 S AMA CDS LTS MLC JBR BWG

15 S CRW PHL 30 E NEL.



GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RGT OF A LN FM OXR RNO RDM 20 SE EPH

60 N FCA ...CONT...60 N GGW GGW DIK ABR BKX YKN EAR RSL ICT BVO

FYV PAH HTS EKN HGR TTN ISP ...CONT...MYR ATL TCL ESF LFK LRD.

STG/SVR TSTMS DVLPG ACRS NRN MT AND MOVG ESE ALG EDGE OF STGLY

UNSTABLE LOW LVL AMS...WITH LI'S AS LOW AS -8 AND CAPES APCHG 3000

J/KG. MODIFIED SNDGS RESEMBLE INVERTED-V PATTERN FOR WRN U.S. TYPE

DRY MICROBURST. SUFFICIENT VERT SPD SHR EXISTS ALSO TO HELP SUSTAIN

SVR THREAT...WHICH ALSO INCLUDES LRG HAIL...UNTIL COMPLETE LOSS OF

DIABATIC SUPPORT REDUCES INSTABILITY.

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