

035 

AGPN40 KWNM 311505

MIMPAC



MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR N PACIFIC OCEAN

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

805 AM PDT WED AUG 31 2016



.FORECAST DISCUSSION: MAJOR FEATURES/WINDS/SEAS/SIGNIFICANT

.WEATHER FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC N OF 30N AND E OF 150W.



ATTM I DONT PLAN ON MAKING ANY CHANGES TO THE CURRENT GRIDS OR

ASSOCIATED TEXT FCST. THE OVERALL WEAK STABLE PATTERN WILL

CONTINUE ACROSS E PAC. A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACROSS

THE NRN WATERS WITH WEAK BNDRIES CROSSING THE REGION DURING THE

UPCOMING WEEK...WHILE TROF/RIDGE COMBINATION CONTINUES TO BE THE

DRIVING FORCE OVER MUCH OF THE CA WATERS.



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PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...



THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT HIGH PRES CENTERED WELL

W OF THE PZ6 WATERS CONTINUES TO COMBINE WITH INLAND LOW PRES OVER

SRN CALIFORNIA TO PRODUCE NW WINDS UP TO 30 KT OFF THE COAST OF

SRN CALIFORNIA WITH THE STRONGEST CONDITIONS W OF POINT

CONCEPTION. THE STRONGEST CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH

FRI AND THEN SHIFT N TO OFF OF NRN CALIFORNIA BY SAT. BY LATE SAT

THE STRONGEST CONDITIONS OF 30 KT SHOULD BE W OF POINT ARENA.

FARTHER N...LOW PRES WILL REMAIN N OF THE WASHINGTON WATERS

THROUGH THU AND THEN MOVE SE INTO THE NRN PZ5 WATERS BY THU NIGHT

WITH WINDS UP TO 25 KT. THE LATEST RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE

NOW IN SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT IN DROPPING THIS WEAKENING LOW

SE ACROSS THE WASHINGTON WATERS THU NIGHT. FOR WIND GRIDS WILL USE

THE GFS 10M WINDS THROUGHOUT. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS REASONABLE

AND WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY NO WARNINGS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS

DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.



THE NWW3 LOOKS REASONABLE WITH THE SEAS AND WILL BE FOLLOWED

FAIRLY CLOSELY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD.



EXTRATROPICAL STORM SURGE GUIDANCE...N/A.







.WARNINGS...PRELIMINARY.



.PZ5 WASHINGTON/OREGON WATERS...

     NONE.



.PZ6 CALIFORNIA WATERS...

     NONE.



$$



.FORECASTER SHAW/NOLT. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

