

145 

FZPN02 KWBC 011125

HSFEPI



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

1145 UTC THU SEP 01 2016



CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SEP 01. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 02. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 03. 



.WARNINGS. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.LOW 45N163W 1005 MB MOVING NE 25 KT WITH SECOND LOW 34N175W 

1006 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. WITHIN 180 NM SE OF A FRONT FROM FIRST 

LOW TO 39N167W TO SECOND LOW S TO SW WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 

TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM SE OF 

FRONT FROM 46N161W TO FIRST LOW TO 39N167W TO SECOND LOW WINDS 

20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FIRST LOW 49N152W 1014 MB WITH SECOND LOW 

44N166W 1007 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SE QUADRANT OF SECOND LOW S TO SW 

WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM 

EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45N146W TO 42N160W AND WITHIN 300 NM 

E...420 NM SE...AND 720 NM S QUADRANTS OF SECOND LOW WINDS 20 TO 

30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FIRST LOW 45N139W 1018 MB WITH SECOND LOW 

DISSIPATED. WITHIN 420 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 

FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 50N154W 

TO 42N160W TO 34N171W TO 31N177W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.



...GALE WARNING... 

.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 48N175E MOVING SE 05 KT. OVER 

FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 42N170E 

TO 48N163E TO 52N165E N TO NW WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 

FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS NW OF A LINE FROM 58N171W TO 

49N169E AND WITHIN 360 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 40N174E TO 

51N162E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N178E 990 MB. WITHIN 540 NM NW AND N AND 

480 NM E QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 720 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 

30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N177W 993 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S 

SEMICIRCLE...AND NW OF A LINE FROM 49N164E TO 52N176E TO 58N171W 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED IN SECOND GALE WARNING ABOVE OVER FORECAST 

WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 61N176W TO 64N167W TO 65N167W N TO NE 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 57N176E TO 61N172W TO 65N167W 

N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF A LINE FROM 60N175W TO 65N168W NE WINDS 

20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.



.LOW 52N131W 1008 MB MOVING SE 10 KT. WITHIN 480 NM SW QUADRANT 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N129W 1011 MB. WITHIN 240 NM S AND 540 

NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.



.OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA 

OF N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 119W AND 126W AREA OF 

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 

.48 HOUR FROM 31N TO 42N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W N TO NW WINDS 20 

TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. 



.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS DESCRIBED IN GALE WARNINGS ABOVE 

WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 51N160W TO 41N169W TO 

37N174W S TO SW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST 

WATERS FROM 43N TO 53N BETWEEN 148W AND 168W AND FROM 48N TO 58N 

BETWEEN 169W AND 174E.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 40N166W TO 

55N173E TO 57N177E TO 56N163W TO 49N144W TO 45N146W TO 40N166W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 52N TO 59N BETWEEN 164W AND 

175E AND WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 39N163W TO 45N171W TO 51N160W 

TO 54N149W TO 49N144W TO 44N148W TO 39N163W.



.HIGH 39N146W 1029 MB MOVING SW 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 36N148W 1030 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 37N149W 1031 MB. 



.HIGH 54N150W 1019 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 52N141W 1019 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 50N138W 1022 MB. 



.FORECASTER FIGURSKEY. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 01.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 02.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 03.



.NONE.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.HURRICANE LESTER W OF AREA. FROM 17N TO 25N W OF 135W E TO SE

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 KT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 26N W

OF 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 19N TO 25N W OF 137W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.

SEAS 8 TO 10 KT. ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 25N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT

OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 18N TO 24N W OF 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



.FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.

SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 96W...FROM 08N

TO 11N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W...AND FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W

AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. FROM 10N TO 12N

BETWEEN 113W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT

PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. 



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC THU SEP 01...



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N89W TO 11N105W TO 1010

MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 10.5N118W TO 10N123W TO 13N135W TO BEYOND

12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 10N TO 12.5N

BETWEEN 91W AND 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CAN BE FOUND FROM 05N TO

07N BETWEEN 87W AND 90W...FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W...

WITHIN ABOUT 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 09N97W TO 11N102W...FROM 08N

TO 10N BETWEEN 108W AND 115W...AND WITHIN ABOUT 120 NM S OF

TROUGH BETWEEN 130W AND 135W.



$$





.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SEP 01 2016.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 02 2016.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SEP 03 2016.



.WARNINGS. 



...HURRICANE WARNING... 

.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.2N 142.4W AT 01/0900Z 967 MB MOVING W 

12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. WINDS 34 KT 

OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM 

SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE E OF A LINE FROM 

17N143W TO 23N149W TO 25N147W. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 210 

NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 

300 NM NW QUADRANT. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 90 

NM NW QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 19.1N 146.8W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER 

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 

QUADRANT...90 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 

18N TO 26N BETWEEN 140W AND 151W. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 

300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 NM ELSEWHERE OF CENTER. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 20.5N 151.8W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER WITHIN 

120 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 

100 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 27N 

BETWEEN 146W AND 156W. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 330 NM NE 

SEMICIRCLE AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 22.3N 157.1W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 

GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 

.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESTER NEAR 24.5N 162.0W. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. 

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESTER NEAR 26.7N 165.9W. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 



...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... 

.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 16.9N 156.4W AT 01/0900Z MOVING W 

12 KT 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. WINDS 

34 KT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM NW QUADRANT. 

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 153W AND 

157W. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM S 

SEMICIRCLE. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS FROM 17N TO 19N 

BETWEEN 151W AND 157W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 16.6N 160.2W. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR 

GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE 

FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 157W AND 161W. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 

WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE NEAR 16.2N 

166.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WINDS 20 TO 

30 KT WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW...FORMER MADELINE...NEAR 16.5N 

170.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 

OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 

.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW...FORMER MADELINE...NEAR 17.5N 

175.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 

.120 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. 



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 

AND INTENSITY. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.FRONT FROM 30N175W TO 28N180W TO 27N175E TO 27N169E TO 28N164E 

MOVING N SLOWLY E OF 171E AND NEARLY STATIONARY ELSEWHERE. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM S OF FRONT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N176E TO 26N170E TO 26N166E TO 

29N161E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N177E TO 23N166E. 



.TROUGH FROM 09N174W TO 12N171W TO 17N168W MOVING W 10 KT. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 05N TO 14N BETWEEN 157W AND 

180W...AND FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 166W AND 172W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 09N178W TO 16N174W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 09N178E TO 11N180W TO 15N179W. 



.RIDGE FROM 30N166W TO 25N175W TO 22N176E MOVING N SLOWLY. 



.E TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 19N TO 26N BETWEEN 151W AND 

158W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST E TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 19N TO 25N 

BETWEEN 155W AND 166W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST E TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 18N TO 23N 

BETWEEN 164W AND 173W...AND FROM 21N TO 26N BETWEEN 156W AND 

165W. 



.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS REMAINDER FORECAST AREA. 



.EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH MADELINE AND LESTER...SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 27N E OF 150W...FROM 14N TO 30N BETWEEN 

150W AND 160W...AND FROM 23N TO 28N BETWEEN 160W AND 165W. SEAS 

8 TO 11 FT N OF A LINE FROM 30N171W TO 26N176W TO 26N178E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH MADELINE AND 

LESTER...SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N174W 

30N146W 24N140W 18N140W 12N148W 15N164W 30N174W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH LESTER...SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N167W 30N147W 20N143W 12N154W 

15N167W 19N172W 30N167W. 



.SEAS 8 FT OR LOWER REMAINDER FORECAST AREA. 



.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS S OF 18N W OF 170E...S OF 12N BETWEEN 

170E AND 180E...AND FROM 07N TO 15N E OF 152W. 



$$ 



.HONOLULU HI.

