

106 

FZPN02 KWBC 301725

HSFEPI



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

1745 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016



CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC AUG 30. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 31. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 01. 



.WARNINGS. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.LOW 45N176W 1001 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT 

AND 180 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT FROM 49N171W TO 40N167W TO 

32N171W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N179W 996 MB. WITHIN 600 NM N AND 360 NM 

SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N174E 994 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF 

A LINE FROM 60N170W TO 50N171E TO 38N179E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. 

SEAS TO 12 FT. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 32N177W 1005 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS 

WITHIN 180 NM E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 48N162W TO 30N165W TO 

LOW CENTER TO 30N180W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 48N161W 1002 MB. 

WITHIN 300 NM E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM LOW CENTER TO 42N163W 

TO 30N174W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.FROM 30N TO 39N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS 20 

TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA OF 

NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 



.OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 37N160E TO 31N170E AREA 

OF E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS W OF AREA. 



.LOW 50N136W 1005 MB MOVING NE 05 KT. WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 360 

NM SW QUADRANTS AND BETWEEN 240 NM AND 360 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 

TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N133W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW QUADRANT 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N132W 1007 MB. WITHIN 540 NM NM SW 

QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST 

WATERS WITHIN 420 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 55N171E TO 42N167W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 43N TO 58N BETWEEN 155W AND 

172E.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 540 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 

55N172E TO 41N162W.



.HIGH 40N154W 1028 MB MOVING SE 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 39N151W 1026 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 38N147W 1027 MB. 



.HIGH 32N132W 1023 MB MOVING SW 05 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 55N151W 1019 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 53N148W 1021 MB. 



.FORECASTER LEE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 30.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 31.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 01.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.1N 134.4W 961 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 30

MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT

GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N

SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE AND 60 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR

GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE AND 180 NM SW

QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 420 NM

OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED

SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.1N 138.3W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE...80 NM SE...70 NM SW AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS.

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM SE AND

270 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. REMAINDER OF FORECAST 

WATERS FROM 12N TO 27N W OF 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 

FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.5N 142.8W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 110 NM NE...90 NM SE...80 NM SW AND 100 NM NW QUADRANTS.

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM SE AND

270 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS

FROM 15N TO 26N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT

PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 19.8N 147.2W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 21.4N 152.4W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESTER NEAR 23.4N 157.6W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 96W AND 111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS

TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 94W AND 104W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 83W AND 93W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC TUE AUG 30...



.HURRICANE LESTER...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM E AND 45 NM W

SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.  



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N78W TO 09N84W TO 13N100W TO

09N115W TO 14N127W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN

180 NM OF LINE FROM 05N77W TO 17N107W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO

STRONG FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 107W AND 127W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF

LINE FROM 11N130W TO 11N140W.



.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC AUG 30 2016.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 31 2016.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SEP 01 2016.



.WARNINGS. 



...HURRICANE WARNING... 

.HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 19.3N 148.3W 958 MB AT 0900 UTC MOVING 

W 09 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. WINDS 34 

KT OR GREATER AND SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 110 NM N 

SEMICIRCLE...AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 

8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S 

SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF 

CENTER. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE 19.1N 151.7W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 100 NM NE...80 NM SE...80 NM 

SW...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 

FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM S SEMICIRCLE. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE 18.5N 155.7W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 90 NM NE...50 NM SE...50 NM SW...AND 

90 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITHIN 

270 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE 18.6N 159.9W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. 



EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 



.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 19.4N 164.4W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 20.2N 169.5W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 

AND INTENSITY. 



...HURRICANE WARNING... 

.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.2N 140.6W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 110 NM NE...90 NM SE...80 NM 

SW...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 

FT WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.5N 142.8W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 110 NM NE...90 NM SE...80 NM 

SW...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 

FT WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE. 



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 

AND INTENSITY. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 16N162W 1012 MB MOVING WNW SLOWLY. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

13N155W TO 13N140W...AND FROM LOW TO 08N173W. TROUGHS NEARLY 

STATIONARY. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE 

OF LOW...AND 210 NM S OF E TROUGH. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 16N166W 1012 MB. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

13N140W...AND FROM LOW TO 10N173W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 16N170W 1012 MB. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

10N171W. TROUGH SEPARATED FROM LOW FROM 12N140W TO 12N160W. 



.FRONT FROM 30N168E TO 28N170E TO 15N160E MOVING E 10 KT N OF 

25N...AND NEARLY STATIONARY ELSEWHERE. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS 

WITHIN 240 NM OF FRONT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N180E TO 27N170E. S TO SW WINDS 

20 TO 30 KT N OF 27N BETWEEN 172W AND 180E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N172W TO 27N176W. WINDS 

DIMINISHED TO 20 KT OR LESS. 



.FRONT FROM 30N173W TO 27N180W TO 30N170E NEARLY STATIONARY. 

SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF FRONT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT MOVED N OF FORECAST AREA. 



.TROUGH FROM 15N170E TO 06N169E NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED 

MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 22O NM E OF TROUGH AND 90 NM W OF TROUGH. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAK TROUGH FROM 15N168E TO 08N167E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. 



.RIDGE FROM 30N165W TO 16N170E NEARLY STATIONARY. 



.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA. 



.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 28N W OF 

158W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 28N W OF 

160W. 



.THE FOLLOWING ARE SEAS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE MADELINE 

OR LESTER. 



.SEAS 8 TO 10 FT N OF 20N W OF 170E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT N OF LINE FROM 30N175W TO 

20N170E TO 24N160E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 169W AND 175W. 



.SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA. 



.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 180E AND 

175E...AND FROM 01N TO 06N W OF 166E. 



$$ 



.FORECASTER MORRISON. HONOLULU HI.

