

918 

FZPN02 KWBC 291125

HSFEPI



HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC

1145 UTC MON AUG 29 2016



CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



PAN PAN 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 29. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 30. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 31. 



.WARNINGS. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 40N160E TO 32N170E AREA 

OF E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 39N160E TO 33N169E AREA OF E 

WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 36N160E TO 34N164E AREA OF E 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 53N136W 1002 MB MOVING SW 05 KT. WITHIN 120 NM N...180 NM 

E...AND 300 NM SE QUADRANTS...AND BETWEEN 360 NM AND 780 NM SW 

QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N137W 1005 MB. WITHIN 540 NM SW AND 240 

NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N134W 1007 MB. WITHIN 420 NM SW QUADRANT 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.  



.LOW 41N174W 1010 MB MOVING E 10 KT. WITHIN 120 NM NE AND E OF A 

FRONT FROM 46N173W TO LOW CENTER TO 37N173W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 

LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS 

DESCRIBED BELOW WITH LOW 44N178W.



.LOW 42N178E 1010 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. 

SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N178W 1003 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E AND 240 

NM S QUDARANTS...FROM 46N TO 49N BETWEEN 165W AND 179W...AND 

WITHIN 240 NM E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 46N169W TO 40N168W TO 

32N171W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N178W 998 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 

BETWEEN 240 NM AND 540 NM N QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 

E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 52N167W TO 46N163W TO 35N167W WINDS 

20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.



.FROM 32N TO 36N BETWEEN 119W AND 122W AREA OF NW WINDS TO 25 

KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 39N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA OF 

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 36N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W AREA OF 

N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST 

WATERS N OF A LINE FROM 46N160E TO 46N170E TO 52N179W AND WITHIN 

240 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 53N167W TO 49N175W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 300 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 

51N172E TO 42N67W.

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE 

FROM 57N170W TO 43N160W TO 53N173E TO 57N170W.



.HIGH 55N170W 1023 MB MOVING NW 10 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.HIGH 46N163E 1023 M3 NEARLY STATIONARY. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.HIGH 42N156W 1027 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 39N153W 1027 MB. 



.HIGH 34N131W 1023 MB MOVING SW 05 KT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 32N131W 1023 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.FORECASTER BELL. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 29.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 30.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 31.



.WARNINGS.



...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 127.8W 965 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 29

MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT

GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE

QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW

QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND

120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM

N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8

TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 25N BETWEEN 121W AND

135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.1N 132.4W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SEMICIRCLE...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT

WITH SEAS TO 37 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 180 NM S

SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF

AREA FROM 12N TO 26N W OF 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10

FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.1N 137.2W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW

QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SEMICIRCLE...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT

WITH SEAS TO 31 FT.ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 180 NM S

SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA

FROM 12N TO 26N W OF131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN

MIXED SWELL.

.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.2N 141.9W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.7N 146.5W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 20.2N 151.4W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.HURRICANE MADELINE W OF AREA. FROM 15N TO 19N W OF 138W SE TO S

WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 27N W OF

137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH HURRICANE LESTER.



.FROM 10.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 121W AND 126W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.

SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 96W AND 102W SW TO W

WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 106W

AND 111W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 105W SW WINDS

20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.



.LOW PRES NEAR 12N113W 1010 MB MOVING W. FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN

108W AND 116W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N117W. FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN

115W AND 118W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N119W. WITHIN 45 NM N AND 75NM

S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON AUG 29...



.HURRICANE LESTER...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF

CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120

NM OF CENTER.  



.LOW PRES NEAR 12N113W...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN

ABOUT 60 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 13N112W TO 09N116W. SIMILAR

CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER. 



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N90W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR

12N113W TO 13N120W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION

NEAR 07.5N83W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN

75 NM OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 85W AND 90W.

SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 96W AND 99W...AND

FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W.



.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E



SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 29 2016.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 30 2016.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 31 2016.



.WARNINGS. 



...HURRICANE WARNING... 

.HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 17.8N 143.7W 984 MB AT 0600 UTC MOVING 

WNW 09 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. WINDS 34 

KT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 50 NM S 

SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 80 NM NE...50 NM SE...50 

NM SW...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 

12 FT ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 22N E OF 145W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO 

STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE 18.9N 146.8W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 90 NM NE...70 NM SE...70 NM SW...AND 

90 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 142W AND 148W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 19.2N 149.8W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER AND 

SEAS 12 FT OR HIGHER WITHIN 80 NM NE...50 NM SE...50 NM SW AND 

80 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 

ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 25N W OF 150W. 

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 18.5N 154.8W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. 



EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 



.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 17.6N 159.0W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. 

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE 16.7N 163.3W. MAXIMUM 

SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 

AND INTENSITY. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.LOW 14N159W 1011 MB MOVING W SLOWLY. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

11N146W AND FROM LOW TO 05N178W. TROUGHS NEARLY STATIONARY. 

SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW...WITHIN 220 NM OF 

EASTERN TROUGH...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N160W TO 

05N170W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 15N161W 1011 MB. TROUGHS...LITTLE CHANGE. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 16N164W 1012 MB. TROUGHS FROM LOW TO 

11N149W...AND FROM LOW TO 10N170W. 



.FRONT FROM 30N175W TO 27N180E TO 30N165E NEARLY STATIONARY. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF FRONT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N172W TO 26N180W TO 30N170E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT MOVED N OF FORECAST AREA. 



.FRONT FROM 30N169E TO 20N164E TO 16N160E MOVING E SLOWLY. 

ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N170E TO 16N160E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 30N177E TO 25N170E TO 17N160E. 



.TROUGH FROM 15N171E TO 08N170E NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED 

MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 220 NM OF TROUGH. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 15N171E TO 08N170E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAK TROUGH FROM 15N166E TO 08N166E. 



.TROUGH FROM 24N140W TO 22N143W MOVING NW 15 KT. ISOLATED 

MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF TROUGH. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATING N OF AREA. 



.RIDGE FROM 30N166W TO 18N175E NEARLY STATIONARY. 



.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA. 



.THE FOLLOWING ARE SEAS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. MADELINE. 



.SEAS 8 TO 9 FT N OF 27N W OF 166E. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 11 FT N OF 20N W OF 170E. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT N OF 22N W OF 172E...AND FROM 

15N TO 25N E OF 145W. 



.SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA. 



$$ 



.FORECASTER MORRISON. HONOLULU HI.

