

184 

FZPN01 KWBC 210401

HSFEP1



HIGH SEAS FORECAST 

NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC 

0430 UTC SUN AUG 21 2016 



SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 



SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY 

BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 

VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE). 



SECURITE 



PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 

TO 50N 160E 



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC AUG 21. 

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 22. 

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 23. 



.WARNINGS. 



...GALE WARNING... 

.LOW 63N168W 1000 MB MOVING SE 10 KT. WITHIN 360 NM E AND SE OF 

A LINE FROM 62N168W TO 57N174W TO 54N176E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 

SEAS TO 12 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND 62N163W 991 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NW 

QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ALSO WITHIN 180 NM E 

AND SE OF A LINE FROM 58N157W TO 51N161W TO 47N170W WINDS 20 TO 

30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND 60N164W 995 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NW 

QUADRANT AND N OF A LINE FROM 60N147W TO 58N141W TO 56N138W 

WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM W 

QUADRANT AND 120 NM E OF A LINE FROM 57N150W TO 50N153W TO 

44N158W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 



.WITHIN 360 NM W AND NW OF A LINE FROM 35N135W TO 43N127W TO 

50N127W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST E OF A LINE FROM 48N131W TO 55N140W AREA OF NW 

WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED. 



.LOW 47N155W 1019 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 180 NM W AND NW 

SEMICIRCLES WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N151W 1010 MB WITH CONDITIONS 

DIMINISHED. .36 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. 



.WITHIN 180 NM N AND NW OF A LINE FROM 37N163W TO 36N170W TO 

34N175W AREA OF NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 180 NM N AND NW OF A LINE FROM 36N165W 

TO 33N178W AREA OF NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 180 NM NW OF A LINE FROM 35N170W TO 

31N180W AREA OF NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 



.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 40N TO 43N BETWEEN 124W AND 127W NW WINDS 

20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 



.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM W AND NW OF A LINE 

FROM 43N168E TO 48N173W TO 53N168W TO 62N168W. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 58N W OF 168W. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 43N TO 52N W OF 172W AND FROM 

51N TO 54N BETWEEN 136W AND 140W. 



.HIGH 42N146W 1029 MB NEARLY STATIONARY NEXT 12 HOURS THEN WILL 

MOVE NE. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 43N145W 1024 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 46N135W 1024 MB. 



.HIGH 51N147W 1026 MB MOVING SE 10 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 48N138W 1022 MB. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH ABSORBED BY HIGH 46N135W. 



.HIGH 44N173W 1032 MB MOVING SW 15 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED. 



.HIGH 43N178E 1033 MB MOVING W 10 KT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N173E 1033 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N170E 1029 MB.



.FORECASTER ACHORN. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL



E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE

EQUATOR E OF 120W



SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 21.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 22.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 23.



.WARNINGS.



...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 20.6N 113.3W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 21

MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT

GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E

SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT

OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH

SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM

SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 21.5N 115.1W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR

GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE

WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 22.5N 117.7W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR

GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE

WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY NEAR 23.4N 120.7W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 23.5N

123.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW KAY DISSIPATED.



FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE

AND INTENSITY.



.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.



.30 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 02S120W TO 02S110W TO

03.4S106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW

SWELL. 

.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 04N120W TO 06N115W TO

03.4S98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW

SWELL. 



.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.



CONVECTION VALID AT 0215 UTC SUN AUG 21...



.TROPICAL STORM KAY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM SW OF CENTER.

SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM

NW SEMICIRCLE.



.SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG E COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.



.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N79W TO 09N92W TO 11N100W TO

LOW PRES NEAR 11N110W 1007 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE

ISOLATED/STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND

85W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 95W.

SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND

108W.



$$

.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

