

239 

FNUS54 KMRX 312031

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

331 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE AREA WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS 

EVENING. THURSDAY WILL BE DRY AND START OUT WITH ANOTHER COLD 

MORNING UNDER NEARLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. THE NEXT CHANCES 

FOR SIGNIFICANT RAIN WILL OCCUR ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE 

WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

331 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-6)   37-42 (+5)   26-31        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-12)  39-44 (-5)   87-92        67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        SW  6        SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND

16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-5)   37-42 (+4)   26-31        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-17)  39-44 (-6)   95-100       70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W 12         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         W  6         W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID

20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND

16. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-012145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

331 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-4)   40-45 (+5)   29-34        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-19)  40-45 (-4)   95-100       76-81        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   1 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-012145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-8)   44-49 (+7)   31-36        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-12)  35-40 (-14)  95-100       74-79        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S  5         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-012145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

331 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-8)   44-49 (+4)   31-36        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-13)  34-39 (-15)  95-100       72-77        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W  5         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   4 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         9            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

331 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-7)   39-44 (+4)   28-33        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-9)   39-44 (-4)   90-95        70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW  6        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

331 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-8)   41-46 (+5)   29-34        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-6)   37-42 (-5)   94-99        72-77        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW  6        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

331 PM EST WED DEC 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-8)   44-49 (+6)   31-36        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-6)   34-39 (-7)   95-100       76-81        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW  3        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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