

025 

FNUS54 KMRX 281954

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

254 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS FOR 

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

254 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   43-48 (-5)   30-35        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  73-78 (+18)  95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.04         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 29. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   44-49 (-4)   35-40        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 65-70 (+8)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.08         0.06         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-292100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

254 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-5)   44-49 (-4)   33-38        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  65-70 (+2)   95-100       36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.09         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-292100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   47-52 (-5)   35-40        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  63-68 (-5)   95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.06         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     NW  9        

DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-292100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

254 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   48-53 (-3)   37-42        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  63-68 (-6)   95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.10         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          9                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

254 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   46-51 (-4)   35-40        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  68-73 (+3)   95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.06         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     NW  9        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

254 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   44-49 (-4)   32-37        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  65-70 (-4)   95-100       43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.04         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

254 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   46-51 (-5)   34-39        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   61-66 (-13)  95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      1500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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