

196 

FNUS54 KMRX 280852

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD RAIN

INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO MONDAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS

FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-291000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-7)   36-41 (-5)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+17)  95-100 (+13) 67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           40           

PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.39         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N  3         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-291000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   38-43 (-2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+28)  95-100 (+17) 60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.40         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W  3         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-291000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   37-42 (-5)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+27)  95-100 (+12) 60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.42         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W  5         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G23                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-291000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   41-46 (-2)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+27)  95-100 (+4)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.39         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     N  5         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-291000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   41-46 (-1)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+31)  95-100 (+2)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.31         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W  3         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   7 POOR       

MAX LVORI             4                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-291000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   38-43 (-2)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+23)  95-100 (+7)  62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           40           

PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.45         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW  3        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-291000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   36-41 (-6)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+22)  95-100 (+6)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           30           

PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.37         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      N  6         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-291000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

352 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   37-42 (-7)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+19)  95-100 (+2)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.42         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     N  7         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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