

215 

FNUS54 KMRX 270908

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

408 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD RAIN

INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS EVENING INTO MONDAY. 

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE DECEMBER

SO NO WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

408 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   40-45 (+8)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   90-95 (+18)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.41         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW  3        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR

40. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

408 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   39-44 (+7)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-1)   91-96 (+31)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.41         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W  6         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

408 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   41-46 (+8)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (+2)   91-96 (+34)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G17     SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.36         0.57         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G21     SW  7 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

408 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   42-47 (+12)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (0)    95-100 (+19) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.51         0.60         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S  8         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  9 G17     S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

408 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   41-46 (+15)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (+3)   95-100 (+12) 64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.51         0.58         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S  7         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             5                         6            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

408 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   39-44 (+9)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    94-99 (+14)  68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.49         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      NE  3        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

408 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   41-46 (+10)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+1)   91-96 (+10)  69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.37         0.61         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     E  5         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

408 AM EST SAT DEC 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   43-48 (+11)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   95-100 (+8)  71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.58         0.60         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S  6         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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