

515 

FNUS54 KMRX 260228

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

928 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY 

WITH WARMER WEATHER ON FRIDAY. THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN 

THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270330-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

928 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-10)  54-59 (+13)  31-36        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  23-28 (-30)  78-83        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SW 17        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270330-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

928 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   51-56 (+11)  32-37        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  22-27 (-28)  72-77        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-270330-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

928 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   50-55 (+9)   34-39        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   16-21 (-36)  60-65        14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 4 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-270330-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

928 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   54-59 (+10)  33-38        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  22-27 (-29)  88-93        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-270330-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

928 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-8)   54-59 (+11)  29-34        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  22-27 (-27)  95-100       25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          7                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

928 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-9)   54-59 (+11)  28-33        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  28-33 (-23)  89-94        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

928 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-6)   53-58 (+8)   31-36        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  30-35 (-21)  88-93        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 4 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-270330-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

928 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   54-59 (+9)   33-38        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  31-36 (-22)  91-96        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      1900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW 17        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



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