

584 

FNUS54 KMRX 250941

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

441 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN WILL BRING DRY AND COOLER  

CONDITIONS FOR CHRISTMAS DAY. THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN 

THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

441 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-14)  23-28 (-9)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-14)  95-100 (+8)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-14)  22-27 (-8)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-16)  91-96 (+4)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W  8         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G22                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-261045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

441 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-13)  23-28 (-6)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-16)  89-94 (+1)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-261045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-10)  25-30 (-6)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-16)  89-94 (+3)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      S  9         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-261045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

441 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   25-30 (-6)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-26)  85-90 (-7)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

441 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  24-29 (-8)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-16)  91-96 (+6)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW  8        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

441 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-10)  26-31 (-6)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-17)  88-93 (+1)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

441 AM EST THU DEC 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   27-32 (-5)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-22)  88-93 (-5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      S 12         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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