

327 

FNUS54 KMRX 241944

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

244 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014



.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL EXIT TO OUR EAST. 

COOLER...DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN FOR CHRISTMAS. THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES 

IN THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION 

ACROSS THE AREA.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

244 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-16)  42-47 (-13)  26-31        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   52-57 (-16)  89-94        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G24    SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SW  8        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G19                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G30    SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-15)  41-46 (-13)  27-32        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-10)  50-55 (-20)  76-81        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W  5         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G26                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G27     W 10 G23     LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-252045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

244 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-17)  43-48 (-11)  27-32        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   44-49 (-27)  71-76        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G23     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G23                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G29     SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-252045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-17)  44-49 (-10)  25-30        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-10)  44-49 (-26)  89-94        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      S  7         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-252045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-18)  45-50 (-7)   24-29        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   40-45 (-35)  91-96        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     S  5         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G22     N  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

244 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-15)  43-48 (-13)  24-29        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-13)  49-54 (-21)  95-100       29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G25     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW  6        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G31     SW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

244 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-16)  44-49 (-11)  27-32        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-11)  48-53 (-23)  89-94        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                

PRECIP END            7 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G24     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-252045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

244 PM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-17)  44-49 (-9)   28-33        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   48-53 (-29)  90-95        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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