

276 

FNUS54 KMRX 240952

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

452 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY.  THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS 

AND SOME BREEZY WINDS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.  COOLER...DRIER AIR 

WILL MOVE IN FOR CHRISTMAS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

452 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   32-37 (-16)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-6)   93-98 (-3)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     SW  9 G18    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 18         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  W  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     SW 11 G22    W  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

452 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   30-35 (-15)  40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-11)  88-93 (-9)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    W 10 G18     W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      W 22         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G28                  W 12 G24     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G27    W 13 G23     W  9 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-251100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

452 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   30-35 (-16)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-15)  86-91 (-11)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G31                  W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G28    W 10 G21     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      W 16         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 20 G39                  W  9 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G35    W 12 G26     W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-251100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

452 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   32-37 (-16)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-16)  84-89 (-13)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G24                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G21    W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      W 13         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G30                  W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G27    W 10 G19     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-251100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

452 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   31-36 (-18)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-12)  88-93 (-8)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G26                  NW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    W 10 G19     NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

452 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   33-38 (-14)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-7)   81-86 (-15)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G17    W  9 G19     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 18         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G20                 W 10 G19     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G22    W 11 G23     SW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

452 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   34-39 (-14)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-15)  79-84 (-17)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G19    SW  8 G16    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     W 15         

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G23                  SW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    SW 10 G20    SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

452 AM EST WED DEC 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   34-39 (-15)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-22)  80-85 (-16)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         1 AM                      

PRECIP END            7 PM         4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     W 14         

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G23                  W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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