

141 

FNUS54 KMRX 230759

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

259 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST 

TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

259 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   47-52 (+9)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   95-100 (+2)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6 G15    S  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.54         0.25         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     S 20         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  9 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  8 G19    S 11 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

259 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   46-51 (+8)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+8)   95-100 (+2)  71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  S  9 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     S  8 G20     S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.88         0.45         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 23         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G22                  S 12 G30     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     S 11 G25     S 11 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

259 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   47-52 (+5)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+7)   95-100 (+1)  71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G25                  S 13 G30     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G24     S 13 G27     SW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         1.05         0.30         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 35         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    46 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G31                  S 16 G37     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G30     S 16 G34     SW 14 G28    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

259 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    49-54 (+7)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+14)  95-100 (+2)  67-72        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 S 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G16    S  9 G22     SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         1.20         0.26         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 18                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               36 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G19                 S 13 G27     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G21    S 12 G27     SW 12 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

259 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   50-55 (+8)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+24)  95-100 (+2)  69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7 G18     SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         1.36         0.32         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     S 21         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             9                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  S 10 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     S  9 G23     SW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

259 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   47-52 (+7)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+8)   95-100 (+3)  66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.72         0.30         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     S 20         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      S  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         SE  6        SW 10 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

259 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   48-53 (+5)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+7)   95-100 (+4)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.79         0.21         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    64 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6 G15    SW 12 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

259 AM EST TUE DEC 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   50-55 (+6)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+6)   95-100 (+5)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  6         SW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       7            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         1.03         0.19         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    65 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G15                 S 11 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    S  7 G17     SW 13 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



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