

729 

FNUS54 KMRX 210820

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE 

REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING A CHANCE 

FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A 

STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. RAIN 

SHOWERS ON TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY WILL CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS 

FOR CHRISTMAS EVE. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   33-38 (+5)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-15)  89-94 (+1)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S  9         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   32-37 (+3)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-10)  90-95 (-2)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SE  9        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   34-39 (+3)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-14)  89-94 (-6)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  2                      S  6         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   36-41 (+4)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-14)  95-100 (0)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     S 12         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   36-41 (+2)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-16)  95-100 (0)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SE  9        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             7                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   33-38 (+4)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-11)  91-96 (+1)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  2                      SE  7        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   35-40 (+8)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-9)   91-96 (+3)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S  9         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

320 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   36-41 (+8)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   93-98 (+6)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     S 15         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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