

032 

FNUS54 KMRX 200814

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

314 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL EXIT THE AREA 

TODAY...THEN WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN.  A STRONGER 

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE REGION BY 

EARLY IN THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

314 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-1)   26-31 (-1)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+17)  91-96 (+7)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SE  3        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   27-32 (0)    42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+19)  90-95 (+5)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S  5         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

314 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    28-33 (-1)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+9)   90-95 (+2)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      4 PM         

PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S  3         

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    30-35 (-2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+10)  95-100 (+13) 57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      4 PM         

PRECIP END            10 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SE  6        

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

314 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    31-36 (-1)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+11)  95-100 (+11) 57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      4 PM         

PRECIP END            10 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  2                     SE  7        

DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

MAX LVORI             7                         7            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

314 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    27-32 (-2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+13)  95-100 (+6)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SE  2        

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

314 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    27-32 (-3)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+8)   92-97 (+8)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            10 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SE  5        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

314 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    28-33 (-5)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   93-98 (+13)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      SE  6        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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