

883 

FNUS54 KMRX 191950

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

250 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION 

TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...BRINGING CHANCES FOR RAIN IN THE VALLEY AND 

SNOW IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK IN ON 

SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

250 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   39-44 (-2)   28-33        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+8)   58-63 (+15)  88-93        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SE  5        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+1)   37-42 (-3)   27-32        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+15)  66-71 (+26)  95-100       56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SE  3        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-202100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

250 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+4)   38-43 (-2)   28-33        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   67-72 (+19)  92-97        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     NE  3        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-202100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   44-49 (-1)   31-36        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+7)   62-67 (+14)  89-94        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                4 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     SW  3        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-202100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

250 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+7)   44-49 (-2)   31-36        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   63-68 (+15)  91-96        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                4 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW  3        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          6                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

250 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   41-46 (-2)   28-33        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 59-64 (+16)  89-94        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      E  3         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

250 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   42-47 (-1)   29-34        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+8)   56-61 (+13)  86-91        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  2                      E  5         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

250 PM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   46-51 (+2)   32-37        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+5)   49-54 (+2)   81-86        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      SE  5        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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