

872 

FNUS54 KMRX 190819

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

319 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE AREA 

TODAY.  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION 

TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

319 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   28-33 (+2)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   89-94 (+9)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     W  3         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    27-32 (0)    39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   89-94 (+15)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W  7         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-200930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

319 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   29-34 (+4)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   91-96 (+9)   63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-200930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   32-37 (+6)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   93-98 (+11)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      W  5         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-200930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   32-37 (+7)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   95-100 (+10) 65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     SW  5        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             7                         9            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

319 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   28-33 (+1)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   93-98 (+15)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     W  3         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

319 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   30-35 (+4)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   89-94 (+9)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      NW  2        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

319 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   32-37 (+5)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-10)  89-94 (+7)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NW  2        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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