

234 

FNUS54 KMRX 180827

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

327 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK SYSTEM WILL SPREAD LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SLEET 

AND LIGHT SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. LIGHT ICE 

ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.  A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE 

GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY...SPREADING 

PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION BY FRIDAY NIGHT 

AND SATURDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

327 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   24-29 (0)    40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-10)  90-95 (+9)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      NW  5        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    5 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   25-30 (-1)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-13)  89-94 (+15)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM                                  

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-190930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

327 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   26-31 (0)    43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-15)  95-100 (+22) 43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     N  6         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-190930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    29-34 (+2)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-9)   87-92 (+4)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      N  7         

DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-190930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

327 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    29-34 (+3)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-9)   88-93 (+9)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM                                  

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     N  5         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

327 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   25-30 (-1)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   95-100 (+12) 41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  2                     N  5         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

327 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   26-31 (0)    43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   94-99 (+10)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            7 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      NE  6        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

327 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   28-33 (+1)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   91-96 (+10)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      NE  9        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    10 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



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